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Monday, December 6, 2010

2010: the warmest year on record that wasn't

from theblogprof


2010: the warmest year on record that wasn't: "Last year, the prediction was that 2010 will be the warmest year on record. Last Thanksgiving, the AP was ringing the global warming alarm bells (again) right when the CRU scandal was unfolding: AP ignores CRU emails, instead says global warming accelerating! Quotes people in CRU emails! So much for that meme. From the UK Daily Mail: What happened to the 'warmest year on record': The truth is global warming has halted
A year ago tomorrow, just before the opening of the UN Copenhagen world climate summit, the British Meteorological Office issued a confident prediction. The mean world temperature for 2010, it announced, 'is expected to be 14.58C, the warmest on record' - a deeply worrying 0.58C above the 19611990 average.
My guess is that average is a wee bit high, but anyway. And speaking of Copenhagen, there's this: Wikileaks Documents Show Obama Administration Used Spying, Threats & Bribes to Get Support for Copenhagen Accord. It's the Chicago way. Further:
Last week, halfway through yet another giant, 15,000delegate UN climate jamboree, being held this time in the tropical splendour of Cancun in Mexico, the Met Office was at it again.

Never mind that Britain, just as it was last winter and the winter before, was deep in the grip of a cold snap, which has seen some temperatures plummet to minus 20C, and that here 2010 has been the coolest year since 1996.

Globally, it insisted, 2010 was still on course to be the warmest or second warmest year since current records began.

But buried amid the details of those two Met Office statements 12 months apart lies a remarkable climbdown that has huge implications - not just for the Met Office, but for debate over climate change as a whole.

Read carefully with other official data, they conceal a truth that for some, to paraphrase former US VicePresident Al Gore, is really inconvenient: for the past 15 years, global warming has stopped.
Readers of this blog shouldn't be surprised. From a February post of mine: ClimateGate chief scientist admits: There has been NO GLOBAL WARMING SINCE 1995!!!

...with the exception of 1998 - a 'blip' year when temperatures spiked because of a strong 'El Nino' effect (the cyclical warming of the southern Pacific that affects weather around the world) - the data on the Met Office's and CRU's own websites show that global temperatures have been flat, not for ten, but for the past 15 years.

They go up a bit, then down a bit, but those small rises and falls amount to less than their measuring system's acknowledged margin of error. They have no statistical significance and reveal no evidence of any trend at all.
The whole thing is a fraud. And even the fraudsters that fudged data are admitting to temperature history that they used to say didn't happen:
Earlier this year, a paper by Michael Mann - for years a leading light in the IPCC, and the author of the infamous 'hockey stick graph' showing flat temperatures for 2,000 years until the recent dizzying increase - made an extraordinary admission: that, as his critics had always claimed, there had indeed been a ' medieval warm period' around 1000 AD, when the world may well have been hotter than it is now.
Many including myself have always been suspicious of the hockey stuck graph for the simple reason that it did not match up at all with data collected in Europe:
Perhaps what has doomed the ClimateGate fraudsters the most was their brazenness in fudging the data. It wasn't just the temperature reconstruction of the past from tree rings, ice cores and other indirect methods, but their current system of fudging actual direct temperature data from weather stations and their placement in urban environments that tend to be warmer due to artificial structures while intentionally not putting sensors away from civilization that would show true surface temperature. Here's just on example of 'hiding the decline' in surface temperature data:
Global warming is at the bottom of the priority list of Americans, and rightfully so:
In essence, the jig is up.

UPDATE: check out this video from another prior post:
Here is the animated gif that was put together:
"

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