HEADLINES

Friday, October 15, 2010

The Fed is lying about inflation

Fall for their deflationary warnings at your own risk. The Fed only knows one course and is embarked on it big-time — INFLATION!

From Monty Pelerine

A Little History

The Federal Reserve continues to warn about deflation. These warnings are merely a smokescreen to allow them to inflate while attempting to keep inflationary expectations down.

Fall for their deflationary warnings at your own risk. The Fed only knows one course and is embarked on it big-time — INFLATION!

The chart below, courtesy of The Big Picture, suggests that deflation is the last thing the Fed should worry about and the last thing the public should expect.

Since we left the gold standard in 1971, the dollar has lost over 80% of its purchasing power according to the CPI index. That index understates real inflation because its basis has been changed numerous times during this period. Every change that was made reduced the reported impact of inflation as reported by the CPI.

For those who think we are at risk for deflation, you might want to examine the table of year-to-date price increases in a variety of items:

Scoreboard year-to-date in percentages — Agricultural

Cattle (lb)………………..+12.0%
Coffee (lb)……………….+36.9%
Corn (bu)…………………+37.3%
Cotton (lb)……………….+46.7%
Lumber(1000 bd.ft.)….+32.9%
Orange Juice (lb)……….+19.7%
Soy beans (bu)…………..+13.2%
Wheat (bu)………………..+29.8%

Just imagine what these numbers would be if we were not in a "deflationary environment!"

The real inflation figures, according to Shadowstats.com, drastically understate the real inflation figures. As shown below, the real inflation figures are triple those reported (BLS figure below).

Inflation Calculator

Enter a dollar amount and two dates.
The second date can be later or earlier than the first.
$ in 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
was worth how much in 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

?

Sep 1971 Sep 2010
$100.00 $535.39
(BLS)
*
(SGS)
BLS: Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI-U (Urban Workers, All Items).
SGS: Shadow Government Statistics Alternate CPI.* ShadowStats subscribers, please login to view the actual figure

QE is Coming, No Matter What

The fact of the matter is that it doesn't matter what the reported inflation rate is. Nor does it matter what the economy is doing. These are convenient excuses for justifying QE. The reality is that QE must be done in order for the government to be able to pay its bills.

Do not believe "John Law" Bernanke's desperate words.

_________________________________________________

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